I've touched on the coming war with Iran in a previous post. Having mulled over the matter, I'm ready to venture forth into this topic again. And I hope you have a strong stomach for what you are about to read, because it's not pretty.
Here's what a superb post over at Winds of Change had to say, in part, about the coming war:
I personally believe that we're very likely to see at least 10 million dead in the Middle East within the next two decades, with an upper limit near 100 million. I do not believe pre-emptive action will be taken against Iran. I do, however, believe the extremist mullahs in Iran mean exactly what they say. They are steeped in an ideology that believes suicide/murder to be the holiest and most moral act possible. They have been diligent in laying strategic plans for an offensive Islamic War against Israel, America and the West. Plans backed by 25 years of action, and stated no less clearly than Mein Kampf. I believe that Ahmedinajad's talk of 12th Imam end-times and halos around his head at the UN aren't the ravings of an isolated nut, simply an unusually public (and unusually noticed) expression of beliefs that are close to mainstream within their ruling class.
War is inevitable at this point, period. That's the simple and terrifying truth. And it could be as bloody as World War Two, which killed around 100 million. I am inclined to agree with the above casualty estimate, which puts the mind numbing number of 100 million dead at its upper limit. Armageddon indeed.
It is merely a question of when, how, and on whose terms the war will commence between Iran, and its stated enemies, namely the US, Israel and the west. Diplomacy is useless, and always was -- all the words and proposals and UN press conferences is going to be nothing but smoke and mirrors. Even sanctions, if it makes it through the UNSC, is going to (at best) only slow down the mullahs in Teheran. Only force will stop the mullahs from getting Allah's bomb.
And, like Winds of Change has said above, I cannot see anyone with both the will and capability to stop Iran's nuclear weapons program. Israel lacks the capability and the US lacks the will. No one has both. There isn't enough time to subvert the unpopular mullahs. Even airstrikes would only slow down the program, not stop it. Invasion is the only remedy that will stop Allah's bomb, and that could only be done by the US, if it fully mobilized and had the political will to do something this audacious. But the US doesn't possess the political will to act, I am becoming increasingly convinced.
So, sometime this year, or next year at the latest, Iran will possess the Bomb. It may even already have it now. What then?
Well, it gets worse.
Once Iran has the Bomb, other less than savory, unstable regimes in the Middle East will want it too. Syria, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt could all quickly find the rationale to have their own nuclear weapons development programs up and run within a year or two after Iran becomes nuclear armed. With a huge spike in WMD proliferation right around the corner, and terrorist supporting states gaining these WMDs, the odds of Islamic terror getting the bomb is going to be around 99% in the short to midterm. No matter what happens to Iran, such technology will be set loose upon the world, especially among its more unstable violent terrorist circles, and the technology cannot be called back. A world with nuclear terrorism is much much closer now that ever before.
And this is all assuming that Iran won't use Allah's bomb to unilaterally launch its long planned war against its hated enemies, the 'Great Satan' (the US) and the 'Little Satan' (Israel). Would Israel launch its own nuclear weapons pre-emptively, or would they not launch until Iran's MIRVs were inbound? If Israel cannot, for whatever reason, pull off a nuclear counterstrike, the US, with its huge nuclear forces with thousands of warheads, certainly would. Longstanding US policy states that a WMD attack on any US ally will be grounds for 'response in kind' upon the aggressor. Iran could wipe out Tel Aviv, or perhaps London or New York with a terrorist-delivered bomb. But tracing back such attacks, to its source of manufacture, is a straightforward forensic procedure, and the finger would quickly point back to Teheran. Any of these horrific scenarios would result in Iran's utter destruction under a deluge of American nuclear missiles -- WMD replied to 'in kind'.
Is Iran's leadership rational? Do they know what is likely to happen if they launch a nuclear war? Do the Iranian people fully comprehend the suicidal Atomic Adventure that their government is now engaged in?
The destruction of one or two nation states in a nuclear exchange is not the only horror in this increasingly unavoidable doomsday scenario. Nuclear armed terrorists, worldwide sustained economic recession, collapse of the hugely expensive Iraq project, permanent new intrusive security measures in every facet of our lives worldwide, anarchy, disease, starvation and nuclear fallout for millions of survivors in the war zones, huge influxes of refugees, and on and on. This is just the tip of the iceberg.
The sword will be drawn, and dark days are ahead. Pray for a miracle.