The war with Iran gets steadily closer. Recent developments include Iran's testing of a Shahab missile specially modified to carry nuclear warheads, as well as Iranian military saber rattling in the form of public 'secret weapon' demonstrations. As expected, UN maneuvering has been useless, with their '30 day ultimatum' providing no specifics about what the UN might do should Iran not comply.
It's increasingly obvious that there are no options short of war to prevent Iran from getting the Bomb:
Retired Air Force Col. Sam Gardiner, an expert in targeting and war games who teaches at the National Defense University, recently gamed an Iran attack and identified 24 potential nuclear-related facilities, some below 50 feet of reinforced concrete and soil.
At a conference in Berlin, Gardiner outlined a five-day operation that would require 400 "aim points," or targets for individual weapons, at nuclear facilities, at least 75 of which would require penetrating weapons. He also presumed the Pentagon would hit two chemical production plants, medium-range ballistic missile launchers and 14 airfields with sheltered aircraft. Special Operations forces would be required, he said.
Gardiner concluded that a military attack would not work, but said he believes the United States seems to be moving inexorably toward it. "The Bush administration is very close to being left with only the military option," he said.
Expect a lot more public naysaying from guys like Gardiner, who would probably advocate more useless diplomatic posturing if he was in charge.